Daily Market Commentary

January 26, 2024

Bonds & Stocks
Treasury yields rose and stocks wavered as traders weighed mixed data on US spending and inflation for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. US two-year yields, which are more sensitive to imminent Fed moves, rose four basis points to 4.34%. The S&P 500 struggled for direction after the US benchmark capped a sixth straight day of gains. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 underperformed as disappointing forecasts from Intel Corp. and KLA Corp. weighed on chipmakers. The Fed’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation cooled to an almost three-year low — even with robust holiday spending — keeping the debate alive over whether officials will soon cut borrowing costs.

Economy
The Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of underlying inflation cooled to an almost three-year low even with robust holiday spending, keeping the debate alive over whether officials will soon cut borrowing costs.The so-called core personal consumption expenditures price index, which strips out the volatile food and energy components, increased 2.9% in December from a year earlier, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. From a month ago, it advanced 0.2%. Inflation-adjusted consumer spending climbed 0.5% in December for a second month, the biggest back-to-back increase in nearly a year. Real disposable income, the main supporter of consumer spending, advanced 0.1%, the smallest in three months.

World
China’s $6 trillion stock market rout reveals a painful truth for President Xi Jinping’s government: People are hopelessly gloomy about the outlook for the world’s second-largest economy, and their pessimism is becoming increasingly hard to ignore. This month’s heavy selloff in China’s benchmark CSI 300 Index brings its plunge to a brutal 40% over the past three years, deepening anguish in a market dominated by mom-and-pop investors. A government rescue package under consideration backed by about 2 trillion yuan ($280 billion) and a sudden bank reserve ratio cut show that authorities are growing anxious to stem the rout.

The information represented herein was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable. Neither the information presented nor opinions expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any security. And it is not intended to guide the investor on which securities to buy, or when to buy or sell.