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Daily Market Commentary

February 14, 2025

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February 14, 2025

Bonds & Stocks
The world’s biggest bond market rallied as a weak reading on retail sales prompted a slight increase in bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts. Treasuries rose across the curve, with the 10-year yield dropping below 4.5%. Money markets are now pricing in around 40 basis points of Fed cuts in 2025. Equities wavered after the S&P 500 came close to its alltime highs. The dollar fell.

Economy
President Donald Trump ordered his administration to consider imposing reciprocal tariffs on numerous trading partners, raising the prospect of a wider campaign against a global system he complains is tilted against the US. The president on Thursday signed a measure directing the US Trade Representative and Commerce secretary to propose new levies on a country-by-country basis in an effort to rebalance trade relations — a sweeping process that could take weeks or months to complete.

World
Chinese stocks in Hong Kong extended a recent rally as the nation’s growing capabilities in artificial intelligence boosted optimism over the market’s outlook, while a potentially momentous show of support for the private sector gave sentiment an extra lift. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index jumped 4.1% on Friday to hit the highest since February 2022 — surpassing an October peak spurred by a stimulus blitz.

The information represented herein was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable. Neither the information presented nor opinions expressed constitutes an offer to buy or sell any security. And it is not intended to guide the investor on which securities to buy, or when to buy or sell.