Daily Market Commentary

The Wall Street Journal said Trump may reveal his pick to run the Fed by September or October.

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tocks rose, with the S&P 500 increasing almost 1%, as hopes of a deescalation of the Middle East conflict reduced inflation concerns.

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US Treasuries fell slightly due to escalating Middle East conflict, stoking fears of oil supply disruption and inflation.

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The latest reading on the US labor market did little to sway markets ahead of the Federal Reserve decision, with stocks, bonds and the dollar showing small moves as traders watched the latest developments in the Middle East conflict.

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Weak economic data and concerns about an escalation of risks in the Middle East drove stocks down as bonds rose, with traders gearing up for Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision. Oil climbed.

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A relative sense of calm returned to global markets on Monday, with stocks rebounding and oil sinking alongside gold as fears subsided that Israel’s war against Iran would escalate into a wider conflict in the Middle East. 

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Treasuries headed for their best week of performance since April, driven by strong auctions and cooling inflation data.

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The 30-year Treasury auction is set to take place on Thursday, with investors watching closely for signs of demand amid concerns over spiraling deficits and the impact of President Trump's tax bill, which by some projections will add trillions of dollars to US budget gaps, potentially requiring more bond issuance to finance the spending.

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Treasuries fell, led by the long end, as traders braced for an acceleration in US inflation and an auction of 10-year bonds. 

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Wall Street investors closely monitoring trade discussions between the US and China drove Treasuries higher, with a $58 billion bond auction set to test the appetite for American securities amid President Trump’s fast-evolving tariff war.

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Following a rally that put the S&P 500 just about 2% away from its record, the American equity benchmark was little changed on Monday. Treasuries traded off their session highs.

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Treasuries fell as faster-than-expected US job and wage growth prompted traders to trim back bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. The declines on Friday pushed yields across maturities higher by at least five basis points.

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Following the recent Treasury rally, bonds barely budged. An unexpected jump in jobless claims reinforced speculation the Federal Reserve will cut rates at least twice this year, with swap traders pricing the first move in September. The dollar fell.

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Bond yields fell across curve after data showed hiring decelerated to the slowest pace in two years. The dollar slipped. The S&P 500 edged up.

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Equities barely budged, with the S&P 500 wavering after the OECD slashed its global forecasts, saying combative tariff policies have tipped the world economy into a downturn.

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Wall Street kicked off the week on the back foot, with stocks, bonds and the dollar falling amid renewed trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties.

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